The aircraft market is expected to flourish in the next few years thanks to the growing demand for air transport. Prospective investors who are considering to lease or buy an aircraft should consider the trends and benefits of aircraft leasing.
The aircraft market is expected to flourish in the next few years thanks to the growing demand for air transport. Some of the main factors that have led to this growing demand are: the increase of passenger traffic due to the recovery in the travel and tourism industry, the growth of the middle-class in emerging markets, and the rise of low-cost carriers in Asia.
Along with fleet renewal and expansion, the aircraft market is expected to drive a significant growth in the latter part of the decade. The global commercial leased aircraft asset class is predicted to reach a portfolio value of approximately US$500 bn by 2024. As a result of these market trends, there is an increase in the need for supporting financing resources.
Industry growth and trends
According to research from Airbus, in the next 20 years, the growth in revenue passenger kilometres (RPK) will mainly come from emerging countries and regions, such as China, India, Africa and Latin America. By 2036, these regions will account for a yearly increase of 5.8% in RPK, whereas advanced regions - Western Europe, North America, Japan and Australia - will account for another 3.2% RPK increase per year.
In its Current Market Outlook 2017-2036, Boeing forecasts a need for new airplanes to meet the growth demand in air travel over the next 20 years. The global commercial jet fleet is projected to double in size by 2036 in order to serve an air travel market projected to be 2.5 times larger than it is now. In addition, three quarters of today's 23,500 commercial jets are forecast to need replacement, contributing to an overall demand for over 41,000 new airplanes.
Key regions for aviation finance
Ireland, US, China, Hong Kong and Singapore are the key jurisdictions for aircraft leasing structures. To benefit from these growth trends in the aircraft market, some of these countries have been introducing new funding requirements around aircraft leasing structures and refocusing their regimes.
In Europe, Ireland is known as the founder of the aircraft financing and leasing industry. It has become a stable and favourable location for aviation finance thanks to its tax regime, and the number and quality of tax treaties it has entered with other countries.
Over in Asia,...